cbg-sim

Market

Who buys it, and does it pay?

Offtake, price and the money. Assured offtake removes market risk; it does not remove feedstock risk, and lenders test the second one first.

Market & offtake

17

Who buys the gas, at what price, under which agreement, and how it gets to them.

What has the CBG procurement price been?sourced

SATAT set a floor of 46 rupees per kg plus taxes in 2018, not to fall below that through 31 March 2029. From June 2025 pricing was linked to 85% of the average CGD CNG price. GOBARdhan (2026) then introduced an administered price of 2,110 rupees per MMBTU, around 105 rupees per kg. Treat evolving figures as sourced scenario inputs, not guarantees.

SourceSATAT FAQ; msmeloans; GOBARdhan PIBFull entry ->
How is the CBG procurement price currently set?sourced

Since May 2025 the biogas procurement price is calculated as 85% of the average retail selling price of CNG across GAIL's CGD entities, raised from 80%. MoPNG revised the rate from 1,380 to 1,478 rupees per MMBTU excluding GST for 1 June to 31 October 2025 - roughly 72.8 to 77.4 rupees per kg at 95% methane - with the floor remaining 770 rupees per MMBTU.

SourceMoPNG via BioEnergy Times / IFGE CBG Producer Forum; Renewable WatchFull entry ->
What does GOBARdhan set as the administered CBG price and capital aid?sourced

Alongside its 23,731 crore rupee outlay, the 2026 GOBARdhan scheme sets an administered CBG price of 2,110 rupees per MMBTU and capital assistance of up to 2 crore rupees per TPD. That administered price is a material step up from the 1,478 rupees per MMBTU synchronisation rate and changes project economics accordingly.

SourceUnion Cabinet via PMIndia/PIB, 6 August 2026Full entry ->
What transportation charges apply under the synchronisation scheme?sourced

No transport charge applies up to 50 km, since it is built into the base price; 1.5 rupees per kg applies for 50-75 km and 2.5 rupees per kg beyond 75 km, paid by the beneficiary CGD entity. Producers also receive a compression charge - 8 rupees per kg to a retail outlet, 2 rupees per kg for pipeline injection.

SourceRenewable Watch; GAIL synchronisation schemeFull entry ->
What are the Uniform Base Price and the Tripartite Agreement?sourced

GAIL is mandated to supply biogas and CBG co-mingled with domestic gas at a uniform base price across all CGD entities, under a tripartite agreement between the producer, GAIL and the CGD entity. This is the mechanism that lets scattered producers sell into the national network at a single reference price.

SourceIGL EoI document; GAILFull entry ->
What is the CBG-CGD synchronisation scheme?sourced

GAIL buys biogas or CBG from producers and supplies it co-mingled with domestic gas at a uniform base price to CGD entities. The producer signs an agreement with GAIL plus a tripartite agreement with the local CGD entity, and no OMC letter of intent is required.

SourceGAILFull entry ->
What does the SATAT commercial agreement look like?sourced

OMCs sign a long-term commercial agreement - commonly cited as 15 years - and SATAT carries no take-or-pay clause. CBG must be delivered at 250 bar in cascades to the retail outlet, generally within a defined radius, and quality faults trace to whichever party's equipment caused them.

SourceIOCL FAQ; SATATFull entry ->
How long are the offtake agreements, and can prices be revised?sourced

Agreements are long-term - cited variously as five years with extension, or up to 15 years under some structures - with periodic price revision under the synchronisation formula. The minimum procurement price cannot fall below the notified floor.

SourceIOCL FAQ; Advancebiofuel; IMARCFull entry ->
How is CBG transported?sourced

By cascade - high-pressure cylinder trucks - to retail outlets, or injected into the CGD pipeline where connectivity exists. Pipeline connection lowers logistics cost substantially, but few plants are yet connected, so most sites are trucking.

SourceGAIL; PNGRBFull entry ->
What is the SATAT LOI process, step by step?sourced

A developer responds to an OMC Expression of Interest, submits project details, and on selection receives a Letter of Intent, which is then the basis for site finalisation, financing and the commercial agreement. As of July 2025 the SATAT portal recorded 108 commissioned plants against 1,094 active LOIs - a gap worth understanding before assuming an LOI is a plant.

SourceIMARC EngineeringFull entry ->
What is the CBG Blending Obligation, and what is its trajectory?mandate ≠ capacity

The CBO, approved by the National Biofuels Coordination Committee, requires CGD entities to blend CBG into CNG for transport and PNG for domestic use: 1% in FY2025-26, 3% in FY2026-27, 4% in FY2027-28 and 5% from FY2028-29. It creates demand; it is not itself installed capacity.

SourceNBCC via IOCL/PIB PRID 1979705Full entry ->
Was the first-year blending target met, and does that mean the capacity exists?mandate ≠ capacity

In FY2025-26 CBG sales into the CNG transport and PNG domestic segments reached 1.05% against the 1% target, per the Petroleum Minister's written reply of 6 August 2026. But the CBO is an obligation on CGD entities to blend, not proof that enough CBG capacity has been built - India had roughly 217 commissioned plants against a 5,000 target at the same date.

SourceSwarajya on Parliament reply; Drishti IAS/PIBFull entry ->
Is CBG offtake take-or-pay?sourced

No. Offtake is assured under SATAT and the synchronisation scheme but is not a classic take-or-pay, and because anaerobic digestion cannot be ramped on and off, mismatch risk sits partly with the producer. Financiers therefore weigh feedstock and O&M capability alongside the offtake contract rather than treating the contract as sufficient.

SourceIOCL FAQ; biogaspurifier.comFull entry ->
Who are the major CBG developers, and at what scale?projection

Reliance laid the foundation on 2 April 2025 for the first of a planned 500 plants - Kanigiri in Andhra Pradesh, 475 acres, 139 crore rupees, 100 TPD - within a 65,000 crore rupee state programme. Adani Total Gas runs Barsana at 600 TPD feedstock; GPS Renewables builds EPC at scale with IOC and BPCL joint ventures; EverEnviro operates an Indore MSW plant of about 15 TPD. Most of the large figures are planned capacity, not operational.

SourceRIL press release 2 April 2025; Adani, GPS and EverEnviro releasesFull entry ->
Who serves the Kalaburagi geographical area?needs verification

The Kalaburagi-Vijayapura geographical area is served by AG&P Pratham / THINK Gas, holding 25-year PNGRB authorisation across several southern states. Kalaburagi has no trunk gas pipeline, so CBG there is cascade and retail oriented rather than injection oriented.

SourceCGDIndia; THINK Gas (sole-licensee status not independently confirmed)Full entry ->
What industrial thermal customers exist beyond transport?sourced

Industrial users buy CBG or biomethane to displace LPG, furnace oil or coal for process heat, priced against rupees-per-MMBTU parity with those fuels. In districts with coal, FO or LPG-based industry and no pipeline, that thermal demand can be the most direct offtake route available.

SourceCEEW; Invest Karnataka industrial profileFull entry ->
Can producers sell directly to fleets or through their own outlets?sourced

Yes, and many prefer to - it captures more value and avoids the losses and taxation friction of pipeline injection. Multiple stakeholders report that on-ground synchronisation remains limited, so direct sales still dominate in practice.

SourceIFGE/EAC knowledge paperFull entry ->

Finance

9

Capex, the revenue stack, IRR and DSCR, and what a lender actually tests.

What is a typical capex breakdown for a 5 TPD plant?sourced

Illustratively: feedstock pre-processing about 1.5 crore rupees, digester about 5 crore, upgrading about 4.5 crore, compression and cascade about 3 crore, civil and utilities about 2 crore, instrumentation and SCADA about 1 crore - totalling roughly 20-30 crore. Upgrading plus compression alone is 20-25% of capex.

SourcePerfect Biogas; GrowdieselFull entry ->
What is the typical financing structure?sourced

Commonly around 50-60% debt and 20-30% equity with the balance from subsidy, where Central Financial Assistance of up to 10 crore rupees and state subsidies of 1-3 crore reduce both the equity and the debt requirement. Documentation quality is what drives when the subsidy actually arrives.

SourcePelletRatesFull entry ->
What are the key sensitivity drivers of IRR?sourced

Feedstock cost and availability, plant utilisation, methane recovery and slip, the CBG price, and FOM realisation. Feedstock is usually the largest single cost and the biggest swing factor, and small changes in utilisation move IRR more than most equipment choices do.

Sourceeai.in; CEEWFull entry ->
What IRR and DSCR are typical?sourced

Advisory sources cite roughly 14-22% post-tax IRR and DSCR around 1.4-1.7x for a typical 5-10 TPD biomass plant, but returns vary sharply by feedstock: paddy straw around 7-12%, Napier, press mud and poultry 12-20%, spent wash and maize reaching 20-30%. The feedstock decision is the return decision.

SourceIMARC Engineering; Renewable WatchFull entry ->
How does feedstock choice change project cost?sourced

For a 20 TPD plant, indicative project cost was about 11 crore rupees on press mud, poultry or dung; about 12 crore on Napier; about 14 crore on paddy straw; and about 28 crore on segregated MSW. Handling-heavy feedstocks cost more to build for as well as more to run.

SourceRenewable Watch (financing)Full entry ->
Why is subsidy timing a real risk?sourced

CFA and state subsidies are disbursed against milestones and complete documentation, so a paperwork or verification delay stretches payback and strains working capital at exactly the wrong moment. Incomplete applications are the most commonly cited cause of delay.

SourcePelletRates; AdvancebiofuelFull entry ->
What is the levelised revenue stack?sourced

CBG - up to 2,110 rupees per MMBTU administered under GOBARdhan, against 1,478 under the synchronisation scheme - plus FOM, LFOM and PROM with 1,500 rupees per tonne of MDA behind them, plus optional biogenic CO2 and contingent carbon. Costs are dominated by feedstock and parasitic power. A defensible model treats CBG plus FOM as the core and CO2 and carbon as upside.

SourcePMIndia/PIB; Renewable Watch; biogasflux.comFull entry ->
How do land-lease and FPO or cooperative models work?derived

Land for the plant and for any energy-crop cultivation is leased, never owned, and farmer producer organisations or cooperatives can aggregate feedstock and share revenue. These structures spread feedstock risk and align farmer incentives with the plant's uptime rather than against it.

What tax, depreciation and GST-credit factors apply?needs verification

Projects can use accelerated depreciation and input GST credits, and Budget 2026-27 exempted central excise on the CBG portion of blended CNG, improving CGD willingness to pay the full rate. MSME status can unlock further benefits. Exact rates should be confirmed with a tax adviser rather than taken from a summary.

SourceAdvancebiofuel (exact tax rates not independently confirmed)Full entry ->

2 of the pieces you can put on the canvas belong to this stage. Every figure behind them is the one the simulator runs on, and each card says what the block takes in and what it hands on.

MARKET & OFFTAKE
  • Tanker pickup by an oil marketing company under the SATAT scheme.

    TAKES CBG · SINK

    Default gate price
    ₹105/kg
    Transport to the buyer
    ₹3/kg

    9 answers ->

  • Direct injection into a city gas distribution pipeline.

    TAKES CBG · SINK

    Default gate price
    ₹110/kg
    Transport to the buyer
    ₹1/kg

    9 answers ->

Sourcing sits beside these blocks as it is verified — vendors, capacities and indicative lead times, kept separate from the modelled figures and labelled whenever a link is paid. Supply this equipment?

Ask about market

Answers come from this site's reviewed question bank and cite the entry they came from. Press / to focus. Not investment advice.

Market — Who buys it, and does it pay? · cbg-sim